"The Conversation" (an independent source of analysis, commentary and news from the Australian university and research sector) points out that electricity demand in Australia has fallen by more than 5% over the last 6 years. This is more than expected, and their conclusion is that estimates of energy savings tend to ignore "technical, social and institutional" effects that amplify savings.
This argues for more intervention by government to accelerate adoption rates of energy efficient technology; the knock-on benefits to the whole community are likely to be larger than calculated.